5 in 5 with ANZ
5 in 5 with ANZ
Wednesday: RBA tones down hawkishness
0:00
-9:31

Wednesday: RBA tones down hawkishness

Oil falls 5% on China growth fears; RBA minutes show less hawkish September meeting; RBNZ set for OCR cut; ANZ's Raymond Yeung on why China's stimulus briefing contained no new stimulus

Oil fell back 5% overnight on fears about China’s growth outlook. The RBA tones down the hawkishness in its September board minutes. All eyes are on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s rate decision today - will it be 25 or 50 basis points?

In our bonus Deep Dive interview, ANZ Chief Economist for Greater China Raymond Yeung explains why China’s National Development and Reform Commission didn’t announce any additional fiscal stimulus at yesterday’s briefing, but why some might be around the corner.

5 things to know:

  1. Oil fell back over 5% overnight on fears about China’s growth. Today, all eyes are on the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s rate decision. ANZ New Zealand Chief Economist Sharon Zollner and the market are expecting a 50 basis point cut.

  2. The Reserve Bank of Australia’s September board minutes contained two clear signals of a step down in recent hawkishness, says ANZ Head of Australian Economics Adam Boyton.

  3. Adam says ANZ Research is sticking with its call that the RBA won’t lower rates until February, with the Board minutes indicating that just because others are on the move, that doesn’t mean they are considering it just yet.

  4. ANZ Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence ticked up 1.5 points last week to 83.5, led by views on current financial conditions. ANZ Economist Maddy Dunk says the survey just can’t crack out of a tight range below 85.

  5. One potential confidence booster is the strength of Australia’s jobs market. ANZ-Indeed Job Ads rose 1.6% in September, the first increase in eight months Maddy says NAB Business Survey sentiment might also catch the RBA’s attention.

Cheers

Alex

PS: Bernard is away today on family leave. Catch you tomorrow with reviews of the RBNZ and Reserve Bank of India rate decisions.

Share

5 in 5 with ANZ
5 in 5 with ANZ
A daily podcast hosted by Bernard Hickey that gives you the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under five minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues featuring ANZ's global team of experts.