5 in 5 with ANZ
5 in 5 with ANZ
Friday: Bond yields slump after Fed pivots to rate cuts next year
0:00
-10:00

Friday: Bond yields slump after Fed pivots to rate cuts next year

Fed pivots to seeing 75 bps of rate cuts in 2024, sparking furious rallies in global bonds & stocks; Strong Australian jobs keeping RBA on hold; NZ GDP falls; Khoon Goh on friendshoring in Vietnam

Market interest rates are sharply lower this morning and stocks are rallying after the Fed pivoted to projecting interest rate cuts next year.

In part two of our bonus deep-dive interview, ANZ’s Head of Asia Research Khoon Goh explains how Vietnam is benefiting from friendshoring.

5 things to know

  1. The Fed projected 75bps of rate cuts in 2024, unleashing furious rallies in stocks and bonds globally. The US 10-year yield fell 14 bps to 3.90%. ANZ’s Head of G3 Economics Brian Martin thinks the market may be getting ahead of the Fed.

  2. The European Central Bank held its policy rate as expected overnight, but appeared very relaxed about gathering deflationary forces.

  3. Strong Australian jobs growth in November supports the view the RBA will stay on hold for long time, says ANZ Senior Economist Catherine Birch.

  4. New Zealand GDP fell 0.3% unexpectedly in Q3, raising the hurdle for another rate hike, says ANZ NZ Chief Economist Sharon Zollner.

  5. ANZ Economist Debalika Sarkar says the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas’s hawkish hold overnight was expected. She says its hiking cycle has now ended.

Cheers

Bernard

PS: Look out for our 100th episode special on Monday.

Share

5 in 5 with ANZ
5 in 5 with ANZ
A daily podcast hosted by Bernard Hickey that gives you the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under five minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues featuring ANZ's global team of experts.