5 in 5 with ANZ
5 in 5 with ANZ
Monday: Focus on possible RBNZ rate hike
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Monday: Focus on possible RBNZ rate hike

RBNZ rate hike seen as possible on Wednesday; Australian inflation rate to nudge higher in January; China stocks in focus; Kishti Sen on the Pacific's tourism capacity and funding restraints

Global stocks are paused on their global highs. Markets are turning their focus to a potential hike in the RBNZ’s cash rate and Australian inflation figures on Wednesday.

In our bonus deep dive interview, ANZ Pacific Economist Kishti Sen finds a lack of funding for infrastructure investment is holding back the Pacific’s economies.

5 things to know:

  1. The Nasdaq and S&P 500 closed just off their record highs. The market’s focus is turning to Australasia’s central banks, and the RBNZ in particular, says ANZ Group Chief Economist Richard Yetsenga.

  2. Markets see a 36% chance of an RBNZ hike on Wednesday. Richard says small open economies can buck the interest rate trends seen with bigger economies.

  3. Australian house price growth in 2024 and 2025 is expected to slow to around 5-6% from 9.1% in 2023, says ANZ Senior Economist Adelaide Timbrell.

  4. Australia’s annual inflation rate is expected to pick up to 3.6% in January from 3.4% in December, says Richard.

  5. Markets will also be keeping a close eye on China’s stock markets for signs of follow-through from a tentative rally after the Lunar New Year, says Richard.

Cheers

Bernard

PS: Catch you tomorrow for a fuller deep dive interview with Adelaide Timbrell on the outlook for Australian house prices.

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5 in 5 with ANZ
5 in 5 with ANZ
A daily podcast hosted by Bernard Hickey that gives you the five things you need to know about the global economy and markets in under five minutes. Plus a deep dive into emerging trends and issues featuring ANZ's global team of experts.